Saturday, February 2, 2013

Super Bowl Betting Preview

Let's face it.  You don't want to read another Super Bowl preview, and I don't want to write one.   Sure, this fine website will have an excellent blog breaking down the game, but there is so many ways you can break down the big game on Sunday.  But lets look at it in a different way, a fun, more lucrative way.  On websites like Bovada.lv (I can not officially endorse sports gambling, sadly it isn't legal in this state.  Get on that, Rick) you can place a bet on almost anything in the Super Bowl, like first points score by who to MVP to Jay-Z joining Beyonce on stage during halftime.  But I feel a lot of prop bets, although fun, are mostly left up to luck and not sports knowledge or research.  So if you choose to play a prop bet only, you can stop reading now.

If you are reading this, you want to make some money.  Currently, the Ravens are getting 4.5 points going into the game (it means they basically start the game up by 4.5 points.  To lose against the spread, the score would have to be the Niners winning by 5.  If you have any questions on how it all works, hit up the comment section) The over/under is set at 48.  The money line has yet to be set.  A money line is basically a pick 'em.  If the game is close (under 10 point spread) you can pick the team who wins, taking home more cash if you pick the underdog.  

If I were betting (or if I did, its the mystery of the dance) I would take the Ravens at +4.5.  I think the Ravens will win the game outright, so if I am getting points, that is a no brainer.  I also think if the Niners do win, it'll be close.  Darn close.  Closer than five points close.  Sure the Niners destroyed the Packers and squeaked by the Falcon on the road, but the Ravens beat the Colts, a red hot number one seed Broncos, and the Patriots on the road, where New England rarely loses.  I feel the Ravens have played better competition, and that will prepare them for the slug fest.  The Ravens have more experience on both sides of the ball and have the story of the postseason with Ray Lewis retiring to take all the deer antlers he wants.  The Niners may be more complete, but I still have the Ravens, with Flacco pulling an Eli Manning and silencing the doubters forever.  

For the over/under, I am taking the under of 48.  Super Bowls, with the bye week, are usually lower scoring affairs.  Unless one team goes off (Bucs or Ravens in the last decade) the over is almost never covered.  But the popular money is always for the over because its more fun to root for scoring.  The Ravens average almost 25 points a game this season, and the Niners float around 25 as well.  The margin for error isn't very big when both teams average 50 points total, so the safe money is on the under.

Hope this helps you make some money as you spend money on food and drinks Sunday.  Don't forget the Pepto either.

Rev's Holy Picks: Baltimore +4.5, Under at 48.

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